Interesting home sales stats for the Raleigh Durham Triangle area this year

How is the Triangle area of North Carolina doing with home sales? It’s not as bad as the average person thinks from what they hear on the news. According to our local real estate statistical guru, Stacy Anfindson of the TARR Report®, four counties in the Triangle (Chatham, Durham, Orange and Wake) are still showing appreciation in sales prices from a property’s prior sale, (“the average percent per year change when comparing either the two most recent sales price of the same house, or the list price/most recent sales price of the same house.” - Anfindson Spring 2009). These statistics are as of the end of the first quarter 2009.

Anfindson’s group uses the Triangle Multiple Listing Service’s statistics to analyze market trends and has compared his findings with national and state data he obtained from the OFHEO. It shows the Triangle as stronger than the state or the country. Chatham county’s average %/per year change for a property since its prior sale is averaging 3.73% according to the TARR Report®;  for Durham County it is 2.06%, Orange 4.44% and Wake 3.73%. Compare this to the same stats for state (1.15%) and national (-8.2%) statistics. 

Another take on the same type of statistic is what the %/per year average appreciation has been depending on what year the property last sold. It appears that for research done on two counties – Durham and Wake – that people who bought in 2003-04 and resold recently have had the highest %/per year change in value – give or take 4%/PY depending on the county. The rate of appreciation appears to be a bit less if you look at houses bought prior to or since those years. The years prior to ’03-04 and then  in ’05 seemed to hold around the mid 3%/PY range. It is for houses purchased in the years following that (’06-’08) and resold recently that the dip shows up to be at or below 2%/PY. But, in general and in normal economic times, in order to show a decent appreciation, it is best to hold onto a house for at least 2 maybe 3 years. The point here is that the Triangle area seems to be weathering the housing crisis a somewhat better than we see statewide and nationally. 

Houses under $400K ARE selling fairly well in the Triangle especially if they are in showing condition and priced properly.  This is the time to put your first home on the market and move UP into your next home!  You will do all right with selling and you will get great opportunities in  buying over $400K at historically low interest rates (still hovering around 4.5-5%!) .  Contact us now - take advantage of selling BEFORE the $8,000 tax credit expires DEC FIRST!!   

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